3 Recent Negative Examples of Observational Learning in
America
Georgia Boy charged with murder in death of 8 year old girl
: Boy was imitating wrestling move
seen on TV. Could face life in Prison
Mass. Boy suffers severe burns after having friend cover
hands with gasoline and lighting it.
The stunt had been viewed by the Youths on MTV's Jackass show.
Boy stabs 11 year old to death with knife in arcade. Had just recently seen slasher film
"Valentine"
Children can
"pick up" behaviors almost automatically by observation. The above examples point out why it is
important for parents to know what sources are influencing their kids.
A signal-detection theory of asking people out.
Signal Detection Theory : Comes from WW II engineering
theories.
How distinct does
a signal have to be, in order to detect it when its hidden within
"Noise"
Two
overlapping bell distributions
One is the Noise distribution
The second is the Signal Distribution
The closer these
two distributions are, the more difficult it is to pick out the
"signal"
The more
separation there is, the easier it is to pick out the "signal"
Decision Rules
and Signal Detection Theory
The
"decision rule" (or decision line) allows an individual to classify
stimuli as "noise" or "signal"
There will
be some amount of error associated with that decision rule.
There could be High False Positive Rate : Identify almost all signals, but incorrectly
classify "noise" as signal sometimes.
There could be a low false negative rate : Hardly ever classify the noise as
"signal", but incorrectly classify the signal as noise occasionally.
Wherever
you set the decision line, there will some trade off between false negatives
and false positives.
Applying Signal Detection Theory to Dating
Classify
"noise" distribution as
"Rejection distribution"
: The population of potential
romantic partners who want nothing to do with you.
Classify "signal" distribution as "Acceptance
distribution" : The population of potential romantic
partners who would date you if asked.
Preexisting
conditions which create greater separation between these two distributions :
Physical Attractiveness
Social Status
Material Wealth
However, for
people who do not possess these distribution separators, they must decide where
to place their decision line.
The Modal (most
frequent) Scenario
People do not
like rejection, especially the perception of personal rejection that can
accompany being turned down when asking someone out on a date.
Therefore, most
individuals set a very conservative decision line, which will keep the number of "false positives" (you
ask someone out and they say "no") to an absolute minimum.
The problem with this conservative strategy is that you will
have an unusually high proportion of "False negatives" (You do not ask someone out, for fear of
rejection; if you had asked them out they would have said yes)
The
recommendation for increasing the frequency of your dating is to lower your
decision rule, because by being more willing to risk rejection, you are also
more likely to make a positive hit.
The bottom
line of rejection
Emotional pain hurts, and break ups can bring a great deal
of sadness and negative self-evaluation.
In order to
reduce this emotional pain, perhaps considering the larger picture might help.
Let us assume that 1 out of every ten relationships ends in
Marriage. (probably a high estimate)
We also know that
1 in every 2 relationships ends in divorce.
Based upon these two statistics, any relationship has only a
5 % chance of long term extended success !
Most relationships do not succeed : You should use this
knowledge to help reduce the negative emotions that come with the dissolution
of a relationship.
Blame yourself
less for the break-up, and try not to hate the other person as well.