Publications of Rob McCaffrey

Link to Abstracts of Recent Meeting Presentations

• 2008
  • McCaffrey, R., L.M. Wallace, and J. Beavan, Slow slip and frictional transition at low temperature at the Hikurangi subduction zone, Nature Geoscience, in press, 2008. (PDF)
  • McCaffrey, R., Global frequency of magnitude 9 earthquakes, Geology, 36, 263-266, 2008. (PDF)
  • Payne, S. J., R. McCaffrey, and R.W. King, Strain Rates and Contemporary Deformation in the Snake River Plain and Surrounding Basin and Range From GPS and Seismicity, Geology, in press, 2008.
• 2007
  • McCaffrey, R., The Next Great Earthquake, Science, 315, 1675-1676, 2007. (PDF)
  • Galgana, G., M. Hamburger, R. McCaffrey, E. Corpuz, and Q. Chen, Crustal deformation in Luzon Island, Philippines using terrain models, geodetic observations and focal mechanisms, Tectonophysics, 432, 63-87, 2007. (PDF)
  • McCaffrey, R., A. I. Qamar, R. W. King, R. Wells, G. Khazaradze, C. A. Williams, C. W. Stevens, J. J. Vollick, and P. C. Zwick, Fault locking, Block Rotation and Crustal Deformation in the Pacific Northwest, Geophysical Journal International, v. 169, p. 1315-1340, doi:10.1111/j.1365-246X.2007.03371.x, 2007. (PDF; Velocity field; Supplement).
• 2006
  • Subarya, C., M. Chlieh, L. Prawirodirdjo, J.-P. Avouac, Y. Bock, K. Sieh, A. J. Meltzner, D. H. Natawidjaja, and R. McCaffrey, Plate-boundary deformation of the great Aceh-Andaman earthquake, Nature 440, p. 46-51, doi10.1038, 2006. (PDF)
  • Wallace, L.M., J. Beavan, R. McCaffrey, K. Berryman, and P. Denys, Balancing the plate motion budget in the South Island, New Zealand using GPS, geological and seismological data, Geophysical Journal International, , doi:10.1111/j.1365-246X.2006.03183.x, 2006. (PDF)
  • Socquet, A., W. Simons, C. Vigny, R. McCaffrey, C. Subarya, D. Sarsito, B. Ambrosius, and W. Spakman, Microblock rotations and fault coupling in SE Asia triple junction (Sulawesi, Indonesia) from GPS and earthquake slip vector data, Journal of Geophysical Research, 111, B08409, doi:10.1029/2005JB003963, 2006. (PDF)
• 2005
  • McCaffrey, R., Block kinematics of the Pacific - North America plate boundary in the southwestern US from inversion of GPS, seismological, and geologic data, Journal of Geophysical Research 110, B07401, doi:10.1029/2004JB003307, 2005. (PDF and Supplemental data).
  • Wallace, L.M., R. McCaffrey, J. Beavan, and S. Ellis, Rapid microplate rotations and backarc rifting at the transition between collision and subduction, Geology 33, 857-860, 2005. (PDF)
• 2004
  • Wallace, L.M., C. W. Stevens, E. Silver, R. McCaffrey, W. Loratung, S. Hasiata, R. Curley, R. Rosa, J. Taugaloidi, and H. Davies, GPS constraints on active tectonics and arc-continent collision in Papua New Guinea: evidence for edge-driven microplate rotations, Journal of Geophysical Research 109, B05404, doi:10.1029/2003JB002481, 2004. (PDF)
  • Wallace, L. M., J. Beavan, R. McCaffrey, and D. Darby, Subduction zone coupling and tectonic block rotations in the North Island, New Zealand, Journal of Geophysical Research 109, B12406, doi:10.1029/2004JB003241, 2004. (PDF)
• 2003
  • Bock, Y., L. Prawirodirdjo, J. F. Genrich, C. W. Stevens, R. McCaffrey, C. Subarya, S. S. O. Puntodewo, and E. Calais, Microplate tectonics of Indonesia from Global Positioning System measurements, 1989-1994, Journal of Geophysical Research, 108, 2367, doi:10.1029/2001JB000324, 2003. (PDF)
• 2002
  • McCaffrey, R., Crustal block rotations and plate coupling, in Plate Boundary Zones, S. Stein and J. Freymueller, editors, AGU Geodynamics Series 30, 101-122, 2002. (PDF)
  • Stevens, C. W., R. McCaffrey, Y. Bock, J. F. Genrich, M. Pubellier, and C. Subarya, Evidence for Block Rotations and Basal Shear in the World's Fastest Slipping Continental Shear Zone in NW New Guinea, in Plate Boundary Zones, S. Stein and J. Freymueller, editors, AGU Geodynamics Series 30, 87-99, 2002. (PDF)
  • Vigny, C., H. Perfettini, A. Walpersdorf, W. Simons, D. van Loon, B. Ambrosius, C. W. Stevens, R. McCaffrey, Y. Bock, P. Morgan, C. Subarya, P. Manurung, J. Kahar, H. z. Abidin, and S. H. Abu, Migration of seismicity and earthquake interactions monitored by GPS in SE Asia triple junction, Sulawesi, Indonesia, Journal of Geophysical Research, 107, 2231, doi:10.1029/2001JB000377, 2002. (PDF)
• 2001
  • Williams, C. A., and R. McCaffrey, Stress rates in the central Cascadia subduction zone inferred from an elastic plate model, Geophysical Research Letters, 28, 2125-2128, 2001. (PDF)
  • Henton, J. A., H. Dragert, R. McCaffrey, K. Wang, and R. D. Hyndman, North Cascadia Margin Deformation from GPS Measurements, 2001. (html)
  • Masturyono, R. McCaffrey, D. A. Wark, S. W. Roecker, Fauzi, G. Ibrahim, and Sukhyar, Distribution of magma beneath Toba Caldera, North Sumatra, Indonesia, Constrained by 3-dimensional P-wave velocities, seismicity, and gravity data, Geochemistry, Geophysics & Geosystems,vol. 2, 2001. (html PDF)
  • McCaffrey, R., GPS velocity field and hazards assessment for the Pacific Northwest: Collaborative research with Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, University of Washington, and US Geological Survey, USGS NEHRP final report, 2001. (html)
• 2000-1996
  • McCaffrey, R., M. D. Long, C. Goldfinger, P. Zwick, J. Nabelek, and C. Smith, Rotation and plate locking at the southern Cascadia subduction zone, Geophysical Research Letters, 27, 3117-3120, 2000. (PDF)
  • McCaffrey, R., P. Zwick, Y. Bock, L. Prawirodirdjo, J. Genrich, C. W. Stevens, S. S. O. Puntodewo, and C. Subarya, Strain partitioning during oblique plate convergence in northern Sumatra: Geodetic and seismologic constraints and numerical modeling, Journal of Geophysical Research, 105, 28,363-28,376, 2000. (PDF)
  • Genrich, J.F., Y. Bock, R. McCaffrey, L. Prawirodirdjo, C.W. Stevens, S.S.O. Puntodewo, C. Subarya, and S. Wdowinski, Distribution of slip at the northern Sumatra fault System, Journal of Geophysical Research, 105, 28,327-28,341, 2000. (PDF)
  • McCaffrey, R., Measurements and numerical modeling of strain partitioning and interplate coupling in NW Oregon in cooperation with PANGA, USGS NEHRP final report, 2000. (html)
  • Stevens, C., R. McCaffrey, Y. Bock, J. Genrich, C. Vigny, C. Subarya, S.S.O. Puntodewo, and Fauzi, GPS evidence for rapid rotations about a vertical axis in a collisional setting: the Palu fault of Sulawesi, Indonesia, Geophysical Research Letters, 26, 2677-2680, 1999. (PDF)
  • Clement, B., R. McCaffrey, and W. Holt, Neotectonics: Watching the earth move, PNAS Online Vol. 96, Issue 25, 14205-14205, December 7, 1999. (html)
  • McCaffrey, R., and J. Nabelek, Role of oblique convergence in the active deformation of the Himalayas and southern Tibet plateau, Geology, 26, 691-694, 1998. (PDF)
  • Stevens, C., R. McCaffrey, E. Silver, Z. Sombo, P. English, and J. van der Kevie, Mid-crustal detachment and ramp faulting in the Markham Valley, Papua New Guinea, Geology, 26, 847-850, 1998.
  • McCaffrey, R., Influences of recurrence times and fault zone temperatures on the age-rate dependence of subduction zone seismicity, Journal of Geophysical Research, 102, 22839-22854, 1997. (PDF)
  • McCaffrey, R.,  Statistical significance of the seismic coupling coefficient, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 87, 1069-1073, 1997. (PDF)
  • Prawirodirdjo, L., Y. Bock, R. McCaffrey, J. Genrich, E. Calais, C. Stevens, S. S. O. Puntodewo, C. Subarya, and J. Rais, Geodetic observations of interseismic strain segmentation at the Sumatra subduction zone, Geophysical Research Letters, 2601-2604, 1997. (html) (PDF)
  • McCaffrey, R., Estimates of modern arc-parallel strain rates in fore arcs, Geology 24, 27-30, 1996. (PDF)
  • Fauzi, R. M., R. McCaffrey, D. Wark, P.Y. Prih Haryadi, and Sunarjo, Lateral variation in slab orientation beneath Toba caldera, northern Sumatra, Geophysical Research Letters, 23, 443-446, 1996. (PDF)
  • Genrich, J., Y. Bock, R. McCaffrey, E. Calais, C. Stevens, and C. Subarya, Accretion of the southern Banda arc to the Australian plate margin determined by Global Positioning System measurements, Tectonics, 15, 288-295, 1996. (PDF)
  • McCaffrey, R., Slip partitioning at convergent plate boundaries of SE Asia, in Tectonic Evolution of SE Asia Symposium, Geol. Soc. Special Publication No. 106, 3-18, 1996.
• 1995-1991
  • McCaffrey, R., and C. Goldfinger, Forearc deformation and great subduction earthquakes: Implications for Cascadia offshore earthquake potential, Science 267, 856-859, 1995. (PDF)
  • Abers, G.A., and R. McCaffrey, Active arc-continent collision: Earthquakes, gravity anomalies and fault kinematics in the Huon-Finisterre collision zone, Papua New Guinea, Tectonics 13, 227-245, 1994.
  • McCaffrey, R., Global variability in subduction thrust zone - forearc systems, Pure & Applied Geophysics 142(1), 173-224, 1994.
  • Tregoning, P., F. Brunner, Y. Bock, S.S.O. Puntodewo, R. McCaffrey, E. Calais, J. Genrich, J. Rais, and C. Surbarya, First geodetic measurement of convergence across the Java trench, Geophysical Research Letters 21, 2135-2138, 1994. (PDF)
  • McCaffrey, R., Dependence of earthquake size distributions on convergence rates at subduction zones, Geophysical Research Letters 21, 2327-2330, 1994. (PDF)
  • Puntodewo, S.S.O., R. McCaffrey, E. Calais, Y. Bock, J. Rais, C. Subarya, R. Poewariardi, C. Stevens, Fauzi, J. Genrich, and P. Zwick, GPS measurements of crustal deformation within the Pacific-Australia plate boundary zone in Irian Jaya, Indonesia, Tectonophysics 237, 141-153, 1994.
  • McCaffrey, R., On the role of the upper plate in great subduction zone earthquakes, Journal of Geophysical Research 98, 11,953-11,966, 1993. (PDF)
  • Kulig, C., R. McCaffrey, G. Abers, and H. Letz, Shallow seismicity of arc-continent collision near Lae, Papua New Guinea, Tectonophysics 227, 81-93, 1993.
  • McCaffrey, R., Oblique plate convergence, slip vectors, and forearc deformation, Journal of Geophysical Research 97, 8905-8915, 1992. (PDF)
  • McCaffrey, R., G.A. Abers, and P. Zwick, Inversion of teleseismic body waves, in Digital Seismogram Analysis and Waveform Inversion, edited by W.H.K. Lee,  Int. Assoc. Seismol. Phys. Earth Inter. Software Library, 3, 81-166, 1991.
  • McCaffrey, R., Earthquakes and ophiolite emplacement in the Molucca Sea collision zone, Indonesia, Tectonics, 10, 433-453, 1991. (PDF)
  • McCaffrey, R., and G.A. Abers, Orogeny in arc-continent collision: the Banda arc and western New Guinea, Geology 19, 563-566, 1991. (PDF)
  • McCaffrey, R., Slip vectors and stretching of the Sumatran fore arc, Geology 19, 881-884, 1991. (PDF)
• 1990-1986
  • McCaffrey, R., Teleseismic investigation of the January 22, 1988 Tennant Creek, Australia, earthquakes, Geophysical Research Letters, 16, 413-416, 1989. (PDF)
  • Wu, F.T., K-C Chen, J.H. Wang, R. McCaffrey, and D. Salzberg, Focal mechanisms of recent large earthquakes and the nature of faulting in the Longitudinal Valley of eastern Taiwan, Proceedings Geological Society China, 32, 157-177, 1989.
  • McCaffrey, R., Seismological constraints and speculations on Banda arc tectonics, Proc. Snellius-II Symp., Netherlands Journal Sea Research, 24, (2/3), 141-152, 1989.
  • McCaffrey, R., and G. Abers, SYN3: A program for inversion of teleseismic body waveforms on microcomputers, Air Force Geophysics Laboratory Technical Report, AFGL-TR-0099, Sci. Report #1, 15 pp., 1988.
  • Abers, G.A., C. Bryan, S. Roecker, and R. McCaffrey, Thrusting of the Hindu Kush over the Tadjik Basin, Afghanistan: Evidence from two large earthquakes, Tectonics, 7, 41-56, 1988.
  • Fredrich, J., R. McCaffrey, and D. Denham, Source parameters of seven large Australian earthquakes determined by body waveform inversion, Geophysical Journal, 95, 1-13, 1988.
  • Abers, G., and R. McCaffrey, Active deformation in the New Guinea fold-and-thrust belt: Seismological evidence for strike-slip faulting and basement-involved thrusting, Journal of Geophysical Research, 93, 13,332-13,354, 1988.
  • McCaffrey, R., Active tectonics of the eastern Sunda and Banda arcs, Journal of Geophysical Research, 93, 15,163-15,182, 1988. (PDF)
  • McCaffrey, R., and J. Nabelek, Earthquakes, gravity and the origin of the Bali Basin: An example of a nascent continental fold-and-thrust belt, Journal of Geophysical Research, 92, 441-460, 1987. (PDF)
  • Nelson, M.R., R. McCaffrey, and P. Molnar, Source parameters for 11 earthquakes in the Tien Shan, Central Asia, determined by P and SH waveform inversion, Journal of Geophysical Research, 92, 12,629-12,648, 1987.
  • Denham, D., L.G. Alexander, I.B. Everingham, P.J. Gregson, R. McCaffrey and J.R. Enever, The 1979 Cadoux earthquake and intraplate stress in Western Australia, Australian Journal Earth Science, 34, 507-21, 1987.
  • McCaffrey, R., and J. Nabelek, Seismological evidence for shallow thrusting north of the Timor Trough, Geophysical Journal Royal Astronomical Society, 85, 365-381, 1986.
• 1985-1981
  • McCaffrey, R., P. Molnar, S. Roecker, and Y. Joyodiwiryo, Microearthquake seismicity and fault plane solutions related to arc-continent collision in the eastern Sunda arc, Indonesia, Journal of Geophysical Research, 90, 4511-4528, 1985. (PDF)
  • McCaffrey, R., H. Lyon-Caen, P. Molnar, S. Roecker, J.L. Chatelain, K. Hardjawidjaksana, Y. Joyodiwiryo, E. Kertapati, T. Kuntoro, J. Nasution, A. Sukarna, J. Kartusuwita, S. Patmowidodo, P.Y. Prih Haryadi, M. Riyadi, and D. Reed, Preliminary results of the 1982 microearthquake survey in Nusa Tenggara Timur, Indonesia, Bulletin of the Geological Research and Development Centre, Indonesia, 10, 1-9, 1984.
  • McCaffrey, R., and J. Nabelek, The geometry of backarc thrusting along the eastern Sunda Arc, Indonesia: Constraints from earthquake and gravity data, Journal of Geophysical Research, 89, 6171-6179, 1984.
  • McCaffrey, R., R. Sutardjo, R. Susanto, R. Buyung, B. Sukarman, M. Husni, Suciono, D. Satuju, and E. Sukamto, Local earthquake surveys of the Molucca Sea and Sulawesi, Indonesia, Bulletin of the Geological Research and Development Centre, Indonesia, 7, 13-23, 1983.
  • McCaffrey, R., Seismic wave propagation beneath the Molucca Sea arc-arc collision zone, Indonesia, Tectonophysics, 96, 45-57, 1983.
  • Silver, E.A., D.R. Reed, R. McCaffrey and Y. Joyodiwiryo, Backarc thrusting in the eastern Sunda Arc, Indonesia: A consequence of arc-continent collision, Journal of Geophysical Research, 88, 7429-7448, 1983. (PDF)
  • Silver, E.A., R. McCaffrey and R.B. Smith, Collision, rotation, and the initiation of subduction in the evolution of Sulawesi, Indonesia, Journal of Geophysical Research, 88, 9407-9418, 1983. (PDF)
  • Silver, E.A., R. McCaffrey, Y. Joyodiwiryo and S. Stevens, Ophiolite emplacement by collision between the Sula platform and the Sulawesi island arc, Indonesia, Journal of Geophysical Research, 88, 9419-9435, 1983. (PDF)
  • Stanley, R. G. and R. McCaffrey, Extent and offset history of the Ben Lomond fault, Santa Cruz County, California, in Tectonics and Sedimentation Along Faults of the San Andreas Fault System, edited by D.W. Andersen and M.J. Rymer, Pacific Section, Society of Economic Paleontologists and Mineralogists., 79-90, 1983.
  • McCaffrey, R., Lithospheric deformation within the Molucca Sea arc-arc collision zone: Evidence from shallow and intermediate earthquake activity, Journal of Geophysical Research, 87, 3663-3678, 1982.
  • McCaffrey, R. and R. Sutardjo, Reconnaissance microearthquake survey of Sulawesi, Indonesia, Geophysical Research Letters, 9, 739-796, 1982. (PDF)
  • McCaffrey, R., E.A. Silver and R.W. Raitt, Seismic refraction studies in the East Arm, Sulawesi-Banggai Islands region of eastern Indonesia, in The Geology and Tectonics of Eastern Indonesia, edited by A.J. Barber and S. Wiryosujono, Geological Research and Development Centre, Indonesia, Spec. Publ. No. 2, 321-325, 1981. (PDF)
  • McCaffrey, R., Crustal structure and tectonics of the Molucca Sea collision zone, Indonesia, Ph. D. thesis, Univ. of Calif., Santa Cruz, 157 pp., 1981.
• 1980-1978
  • McCaffrey, R., E.A. Silver and R.W. Raitt, Crustal structure of the Molucca Sea collision zone, Indonesia, in The Tectonic and Geologic Evolution of Southeast Asian Seas and Islands, Geophys. Monogr. 23, edited by D.E. Hayes, 161-178, AGU, Washington, D.C., 1980. (PDF)
  • Silver, E.A., Y.S. Joyodiwiryo and R. McCaffrey, Gravity results and emplacement geometry of the Sulawesi ultramafic belt, Indonesia, Geology, 6, 527-531, 1978.

For reprints send E-MAIL to: mccafr@rpi.edu